Forecasting hybrid threats in the political space of modern states

Abstract

The modern political space is increasingly influenced by hybrid threats, which combine traditional and non-traditional methods of destabilizing state institutions. Such threats cover a wide range of influences, including information operations, cyber attacks, economic pressure, political manipulation, and even support for internal social conflicts [2]. A feature of hybrid threats is their multidimensionality, which makes their identification and counteraction difficult. In the context of increasing global competition and technological development, states are forced to implement the latest forecasting methods that allow for timely detection, analysis, and minimization of potential threats.