On possible methodological approaches of socio-psychological research on predicting the manifestation of wars

Abstract

The paper attempts to reveal certain methodological socio-psychological features of the study, forecasting the manifestation of wars in order to determine the optimal ways to overcome them. Modern types of wars, in addition to armed ones, are outlined, based on the resource involved, which include: psychological, political, informational, diplomatic, economic, hybrid proxy, and others. It is shown that the manifestations of wars can have preparatory, main, and final periods. It is emphasized that the key socio-psychological feature of wars is conflicts in which violent and aggressive actions are implemented. It is noted that the main psychological factors of wars are mainly both open and hidden various motives, goals, and actions implemented by the leadership of states or leaders of certain social groups.